Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets April 30 - May 2, 2026". Event total: 50 tweets with 50 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 40-64 (50)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★40-64 | $1.00 | 100% | $235,105 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
https://t.co/Oyz6SiHjiq
This was before Starlink had a name https://t.co/k85Wrm6lZp
True https://t.co/fptLkqXaVP
RT @jgebbia: 👀
RT @XFreeze: Thought-Controlled Robotics is now very real and it's happening with Neuralink A paralyzed Neuralink patient, Alex Conley, ju…
The trend keeps going https://t.co/S95v1GEexA
Grok Voice is used by Starlink right now https://t.co/dSkO5AUCY7
RT @yunta_tsai: The Tesla office feels like a modern-day computer museum as you walk past generations of vehicles, which are technically co…
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 50 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets April 30 - May 2, 2026 (Apr 30, 2026 – May 2, 2026 UTC). The 40-64 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. 7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (40-64); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
The official count is 50 tweets between Apr 30, 2026 – May 2, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 40-64 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (40-64); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Apr 30, 2026 – May 2, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 50-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.