Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets March 2 - March 4, 2026". Event total: 46 tweets with 46 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 40-64 (46)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <40 | $1.00 | 100% | $847,373 | Buy |
| ★40-64 | $0.00 | 0% | $522,307 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @RupertLowe10: Big news. New polling just out - Restore Britain already at 7%. There are millions of people in the country who support…
RT @mayemusk: Recently, I attended a celebration in Shanghai as 1 million of my books had sold in China. Please go to a bookstore or the In…
RT @america: Chairman Jim Jordan to Tim Walz on Somali fraud in Minnesota: “98 people have been indicted. Do you happen to know how many a…
This will be big https://t.co/Xubex9Mea1
Grok hits new high https://t.co/xoAnTYM8tm
𝕏 Money https://t.co/JQ51VrmQeI
RT @paranoidream: "Grok 4.20 is the only non-woke AI in existence, engineered to pursue maximum truth, and deliver unfiltered, evidence-bas…
Grok https://t.co/PJUGy4syzq
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 46 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets March 2 - March 4, 2026 (Mar 2, 2026 – Mar 4, 2026 UTC). The 40-64 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (40-64). Closest was 7D at 70 (65-89).
The official count is 46 tweets between Mar 2, 2026 – Mar 4, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 40-64 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (40-64). Closest was 7D at 70 (65-89).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Mar 2, 2026 – Mar 4, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 46-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
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