Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026". Event total: 473 tweets with 473 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 460-479 (473)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★460-479 | $1.00 | 100% | $1,553,493 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @XFreeze: Try Grok Imagine... Have your way what you imagine https://t.co/LKqaBpDUU2
RT @StephenM: One of the greatest humanitarian achievements of the Trump Admin is shutting down the child trafficking that raged under Bide…
https://t.co/gkBNgQINXN
Join x/xAI! https://t.co/MwVlKwJGpL
RT @Nate_Esparza: my timeline right now https://t.co/zOLkFakhkT
RT @JessePeltan: @XFreeze Yep, and China’s capacity is still growing.
Yes https://t.co/kvVqtxqwRg
Best rocket engine ever: Full-flow, staged combustion 330 bar main chamber pressure Highest T/W Inexpensive to build https://t.co/mUyEANbeU6
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 473 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026 (Jan 16, 2026 – Jan 23, 2026 UTC). The 460-479 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. 30D matched the winning bracket (460-479); 7D, 15D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
The official count is 473 tweets between Jan 16, 2026 – Jan 23, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 460-479 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
30D matched the winning bracket (460-479); 7D, 15D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Jan 16, 2026 – Jan 23, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 473-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.