Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026". Event total: 387 tweets with 387 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 380-399 (387)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★380-399 | $1.00 | 100% | $1,292,859 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
Insurrection https://t.co/lcwzVoEHe1
RT @helyahanna25: @elonmusk Even Mozambican requires to show their Official ID for election to avoid cheating
Invite your friends to join 𝕏! https://t.co/SHgbbFJ4y8
RT @VOLDEMORT2X: Loyalty.. Made by 🅶🆁🅾🅺 @grok Imagine 💫 https://t.co/Ej0ihV9Id9
This is just V1.0 of Grok Imagine https://t.co/X9bO76j0J9
You’re most welcome https://t.co/Jx1J9LETEJ
And the latest Grok 4.20 checkpoints are much better. Largest model variant of 4.20 still hasn’t finished training. https://t.co/1CmZcSgy0P
True https://t.co/vPQJmnuYXg
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 387 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026 (Jan 23, 2026 – Jan 30, 2026 UTC). The 380-399 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (380-399). Closest was 7D at 473 (460-479).
The official count is 387 tweets between Jan 23, 2026 – Jan 30, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 380-399 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (380-399). Closest was 7D at 473 (460-479).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Jan 23, 2026 – Jan 30, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 387-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.