Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026". Event total: 232 tweets with 232 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 220-239 (232)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★220-239 | $1.00 | 100% | $987,589 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
Truth via Humor https://t.co/MkVmWwaBZ7
What is the best possible future? This question is much harder to answer than it may seem. https://t.co/UbWI37hSQO
First Starship V3 launch later this week! https://t.co/JFX4CrSfnY
Where are the aliens? This is one of the most fundamental questions. https://t.co/TITxKLmTIl
RT @ResisttheMS: Greg Gutfeld: "You can thank [Elon] Musk for buying Twitter. Remember the old line - 'a lie can travel halfway around the…
Grok Build … everyday we shuffling https://t.co/DU3dSHOmsl
True https://t.co/OEpuW3n8JQ
RT @TukiFromKL: 🚨 holy shit.. a woman just pleaded guilty to running a voter fraud scheme on Skid Row for 20 years and nobody caught her un…
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 232 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026 (May 12, 2026 – May 19, 2026 UTC). The 220-239 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. 60D matched the winning bracket (220-239); 7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
The official count is 232 tweets between May 12, 2026 – May 19, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 220-239 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
60D matched the winning bracket (220-239); 7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 12, 2026 – May 19, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 232-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.