Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets February 12 - February 14, 2026". Event total: 48 tweets with 48 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 40-64 (48)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★40-64 | $1.00 | 100% | $507,405 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @elonmusk: @TheZvi Because everyone’s job is safety. It’s not some fake department with no power to assuage the concerns of outsiders.…
Wow https://t.co/oFIANmo8gM
Join @xAI https://t.co/Fo3kjhaTXA
😂 https://t.co/XgsQfhtUTI
This bot got hands https://t.co/0zDxXJ8DsN
True https://t.co/IYprTw3REg
♥️♥️♥️ Happy Valentine’s Day ♥️♥️♥️
RT @beaverd: so far I've found about $90 billion of likely fraudulent payments just from 0.16% of the providers in the data set released.…
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 48 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets February 12 - February 14, 2026 (Feb 12, 2026 – Feb 14, 2026 UTC). The 40-64 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (40-64). Closest was 7D at 107 (90-114).
The official count is 48 tweets between Feb 12, 2026 – Feb 14, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 40-64 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (40-64). Closest was 7D at 107 (90-114).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Feb 12, 2026 – Feb 14, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 48-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.