Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets February 9 - February 11, 2026". Event total: 166 tweets with 166 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 165-189 (166)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140-164 | $1.00 | 100% | $911,489 | Buy |
| ★165-189 | $0.00 | 0% | $388,080 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @TruthFairy131: I don’t need to conduct a research study to identify that there is an undeniable pattern of violence here. Another Tran…
RT @SpaceDavenport: Starship will be able to do both the Moon and Mars. The destination, as I wrote in Rocket Dreams, doesn't matter as muc…
And they’re better cars https://t.co/813tZpGvCV
RT @XFreeze: Cybertruck on the Moon https://t.co/QPDeIi5vD9
RT @EndWokeness: This is the trans kiIIer who gunned down 35 kids in Canada https://t.co/7z5HWRc9NA
RT @XFreeze: Elon Musk: Nothing any of my companies have done has been to stifle competition In fact, we’ve done the opposite So at Tesla…
RT @EndWokeness: "I have the distinct honor to say that we lost white population"- former NY Rep. Charles Barron (D) Listen to the crowd'…
For those fools/liars who say it is racist to require ID to vote (it obviously is not), why do majority Black countries require ID to vote? https://t.co/UTg3lqgScs
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 166 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets February 9 - February 11, 2026 (Feb 9, 2026 – Feb 11, 2026 UTC). The 165-189 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (165-189). Closest was 7D at 84 (65-89).
The official count is 166 tweets between Feb 9, 2026 – Feb 11, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 165-189 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (165-189). Closest was 7D at 84 (65-89).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Feb 9, 2026 – Feb 11, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 166-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.