Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026". Event total: 544 tweets with 544 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 500+ (544)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★540-559 | $1.00 | 100% | $1,677,234 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
Most https://t.co/eJBrnLuUMT
RT @CollinRugg: NEW: Minnesota day care worker confesses to intentionally suffocating an 11-month-old boy because she wanted attention. 18…
That’s what’s happened https://t.co/L83NjdiJUQ
RT @JudiciaryGOP: UK officials are threatening to ban X because this platform allows free speech. Governments should not use legitimate co…
RT @DC_Draino: A Minnesota healthcare company has been receiving taxpayer money for 26 years but the company’s location doesn’t even exist.…
Exactly https://t.co/EtbHzTlWcJ
RT @EndWokeness: If not for 𝕏, you'd never see this story
True https://t.co/meHVQ4KHLb
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 544 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026 (Jan 9, 2026 – Jan 16, 2026 UTC). The 500+ bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. 7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (500+); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
The official count is 544 tweets between Jan 9, 2026 – Jan 16, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 500+ bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (500+); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Jan 9, 2026 – Jan 16, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 544-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.