Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026". Event total: 55 tweets with 55 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 40-64 (55)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★40-64 | $1.00 | 100% | $357,768 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @XFreeze: Grok 4.3 just built this entire game with just a single prompt It has the fastest output token speed and outranks Claude Sonn…
RT @battleangelviv: AI morality should be grounded in durable principles like being maximally truth seeking, enabling human agency, freedom…
RT @ArthurMacwaters: kardashev II necessitates a massive amount of lunar production the future is very exciting https://t.co/H3bOvnmeCt
RT @SawyerMerritt: Singapore Airlines has just announced that it is adopting SpaceX's @Starlink. The rollout will begin in Q1 2027 and be c…
RT @HarrisonFordLA: May the fourth be with you https://t.co/7MpTpIVAgv
Rivers of Blood https://t.co/U34C9AVOEl https://t.co/jjHxPwxgzU
https://t.co/ntIQxiO4GM
RT @paranoidream: https://t.co/afhvbJsfZa
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 55 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026 (May 2, 2026 – May 4, 2026 UTC). The 40-64 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. 7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (40-64); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
The official count is 55 tweets between May 2, 2026 – May 4, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 40-64 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
7D, 15D matched the winning bracket (40-64); 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D pointed to higher brackets.
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 2, 2026 – May 4, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 55-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.