Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets January 15 - January 17, 2026". Event total: 191 tweets with 191 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 190-214 (191)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165-189 | $1.00 | 100% | $586,885 | Buy |
| ★190-214 | $0.00 | 0% | $350,254 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @bourne_beth2345: It’s all medical fraud. After my daughter’s pediatrician at Kaiser Permanente tried to put her on puberty blockers a…
They mean it https://t.co/jtKpvYbakR
RT @dvorahfr: To think that our descendants will find space travel commonplace...it's so wow! Grok Imagine, of course https://t.co/5ydWXea…
RT @xwanyex: One of the most obvious things that maps like this one immediately confirm is that regular people are actually very good at in…
RT @Oilfield_Rando: Democrats take power and immediately disenfranchise their opponents. Red state republicans can either disenfranchise t…
Indeed, Idiocracy is happening much faster than expected https://t.co/wP4Q9UHidt
RT @TheRabbitHole: Democracy dies in the darkness caused by a lack of photo voter id
Most politicians are just the actors on the stage. You don’t see the scriptwriters, directors and producers who control them. https://t.co/BuYDA0T5mq
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 191 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets January 15 - January 17, 2026 (Jan 15, 2026 – Jan 17, 2026 UTC). The 190-214 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (190-214). Closest was 7D at 160 (140-164).
The official count is 191 tweets between Jan 15, 2026 – Jan 17, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 190-214 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (190-214). Closest was 7D at 160 (140-164).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Jan 15, 2026 – Jan 17, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 191-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.