Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 9 - May 11, 2026". Event total: 27 tweets with 27 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual <40 (27)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★<40 | $1.00 | 100% | $382,037 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @MarioNawfal: Grok just previewed “Skills” and it's so next level it's not even funny You tell it: “Create a skill that grabs latest AI…
RT @joeroganhq: Jensen Huang: "I was lucky because I had known Elon Musk, and I helped him build the first computer for Model 3, the Model…
RT @XFreeze: Maye Musk on Elon’s early days: "I knew he was a genius and a good person, so I knew he would want to do something good. I in…
RT @AncientHistorry: Everyone knows about the 300 Spartans at Thermopylae. Almost nothing they know is the full story. Start with the num…
Happy Mother’s Day, Love E https://t.co/Brt4UxKea6
RT @DrEliDavid: Remember how they lost their sh*t when @elonmusk did this? https://t.co/bNGxPXxwLq
Absolutely https://t.co/nckQEShYe4
❤️❤️ Happy Mother’s Day ❤️❤️ Appreciation to mothers everywhere who brought us all into the world and nurtured their beloved children 🥰
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 27 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 9 - May 11, 2026 (May 9, 2026 – May 11, 2026 UTC). The <40 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 44 (40-64).
The official count is 27 tweets between May 9, 2026 – May 11, 2026 UTC. That falls in the <40 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 44 (40-64).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 9, 2026 – May 11, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 27-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
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