Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026". Event total: 278 tweets with 278 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 260-279 (278)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280-299 | $1.00 | 100% | $1,915,377 | Buy |
| ★260-279 | $0.00 | 0% | $2,928,623 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @KatieMiller: China's installed solar power capacity is projected to surpass coal for the first time this year. The share of coal-fire…
For sure https://t.co/7LMtK5gYCB
RT @beffjezos: Keep it entertaining
Big upgrade to @CommunityNotes https://t.co/YJWgNr07f8
RT @MarioNawfal: Blooming creative life with Grok Imagine. Light gathers. A fairy rises. Fantasy becomes reality. Update to V1.0. https:…
RT @tetsuoai: Made a Grok Game Day ad with Imagine just because I had to. I'm Canadian so I can't win the million, but you can! Steal my p…
RT @MarioNawfal: A Tesla Model S ran LA to NYC on FSD. Zero interventions. 3,081 miles, winter weather, camera-only confidence. 58h 22m a…
RT @ObsceneSelene: Damn it! I'm not even in an eligible country to participate in the Grok ad contest. I should have read the terms before…
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 278 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026 (Jan 30, 2026 – Feb 6, 2026 UTC). The 260-279 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (260-279). Closest was 7D at 387 (380-399).
The official count is 278 tweets between Jan 30, 2026 – Feb 6, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 260-279 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (260-279). Closest was 7D at 387 (380-399).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window Jan 30, 2026 – Feb 6, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 278-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.