Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 7 - May 9, 2026". Event total: 37 tweets with 37 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual <40 (37)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★<40 | $1.00 | 100% | $618,409 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
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RT @XFreeze: Noland Arbaugh’s life has been completely transformed “I can control a computer with my thoughts” As the first human to rece…
RT @BasedMikeLee: Hitler was a socialist @amuse makes the point exceptionally well
RT @GadSaad: Suicidal Empathy is currently #41 across all books. Pre-order it now and let’s get it to # 1! https://t.co/dkTS3wJveP
RT @dvorahfr: Here's a scene created entirely with Grok @imagine . The story is as old as time: he's in love with her but doesn't dare tel…
RT @XFreeze: Every human who has ever lived, every breakthrough in consciousness, and every dream for the future is currently contained on…
RT @XFreeze: Instagram is dropping end-to-end encryption for DMs today… X just gave us something better XChat - a full privacy-first mess…
Exactly https://t.co/o6rJ0LaaTW
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 37 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 7 - May 9, 2026 (May 7, 2026 – May 9, 2026 UTC). The <40 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 47 (40-64).
The official count is 37 tweets between May 7, 2026 – May 9, 2026 UTC. That falls in the <40 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 47 (40-64).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 7, 2026 – May 9, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 37-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.