Live Elon Musk tweet count for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026". Current total: 0 tweets, 37 in the last 24 hours, pace projection 0.
Projection at event end
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | $0.45 | 45% | $2,838 | Buy |
| 65-89 | $0.38 | 38% | $3,271 | Buy |
| 90-114 | $0.09 | 9% | $778 | Buy |
| <40 | $0.07 | 8% | $2,036 | Buy |
| 115-139 | $0.02 | 2% | $1,810 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 73 | 7-day 49 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 50L 32% | 8W / 41L 16% |
| 15D | 20W / 53L 27% | 4W / 45L 8% |
| 30D | 24W / 49L 33% | 5W / 44L 10% |
| 45D | 27W / 46L 37% | 3W / 46L 6% |
| 60D | 26W / 47L 36% | 3W / 46L 6% |
| 75D | 27W / 46L 37% | 4W / 45L 8% |
| 90D | 21W / 52L 29% | 3W / 46L 6% |
Last 48 hours
Not enough post text yet
Live Polymarket tracker for Elon Musk tweets during Jul 2, 2026 – Jul 4, 2026 (UTC). Current total: 0 tweets (37 in the last 24 hours), bracket under 40. Pace projection at market close: 0 tweets (under 40 bracket) if posting rhythm holds.
Predict lines (7D–90D). 7D, 15D, and 30D project 65–89 (65–68); 45D, 60D, 75D, and 90D project 40–64 (59–64). Lines disagree on the final bracket.
Posting rhythm — this market. Not enough tweet activity yet to summarize peak hours or days.
Historical rhythm (7D vs 30D). 7D peaks 05:00–06:00 UTC UTC (Mon–Thu); 30D peaks 06:00, 17:00 UTC UTC (Tue–Mon).
Quick read: 2-day Elon Musk tweet market · 0 tweets · bracket under 40 · pace 0 → under 40. Predict lines disagree.
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